Howard is likely to find it a frustrating business to exploit the detrimental economic impact of this agenda. He will be right in many ways – but wrong on the most important, the shift in geopolitics that is giving the Global Warming agenda such authority.
If there are those who still think the two party system is in operation at the state level, then they should look at the latest poll from WA reported by The Australian.
The more he articulates it, the more Howard’s agenda looks like a relic from the past.
At face value, the wall-to-wall Labor scare makes little sense.
Tuesday, 27 March 2007 State and federal politics Comments Off
The NSW result may be important in undermining the confidence of the Canberra government and of the media observing it.
Monday, 26 March 2007 State and federal politics Comments Off
Incredibly, given the way the NSW election was conducted, some are even trying to push the ‘incumbency factor’ as a reason for Iemma’s return.
Saturday, 24 March 2007 State and federal politics Comments Off
… at least at the state level?
If the ALP does win power at the end of the year, it will be the first time in its federal history that it will have done so without a programme that only it could carry out.
The most important feature of the latest 61/39 Newspoll was not the poll itself so much, which carried on the trends seen since the Rudd ascendancy, but their interpretation by the media as suggesting a break from the pattern of the last two elections. However, in this blog’s view there is still a vast under-estimation [...]
A basic assumption of this blog is that electoral behaviour is reasonably straight forward.